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13
Jan

Where to Invest in Hospitality 2026: Asset Improvement Over Acquisition in Rising Rate Environment

Last Updated
I
January 13, 2026
Bay Street Hospitality Research7 min read

Key Insights

  • Driftwood Capital's $11 million Marriott RTP renovation at $48,700 per key demonstrates capital efficiency 67-76% below new construction costs while delivering comparable guest-facing product quality through targeted infrastructure modernization.
  • Strategic conversion of low-yield pool space into high-yield meeting facilities directly addresses RTP's 68% corporate/group demand mix, prioritizing revenue-generating square footage over amenities with limited monetization potential.
  • As acquisition cap rates compress below 6% in gateway markets, operational repositioning within owned portfolios offers attractive risk-adjusted returns when transaction pricing leaves minimal margin for post-acquisition value creation.

As of January 2026, acquisition cap rates across gateway hospitality markets have compressed below 6%, creating a valuation environment where disciplined capital deployment favors asset improvement over stretched transaction multiples. Driftwood Capital's completion of an $11 million renovation at the 226-room Marriott Raleigh Durham Research Triangle Park illustrates this strategic pivot, demonstrating how targeted infrastructure upgrades and space reallocation can generate operational alpha when acquisition yields leave minimal room for error. This analysis examines the renovation's capital efficiency framework, its alignment with corporate demand dynamics in secondary research markets, and the broader implications for allocators navigating 2026's rising rate environment where replacement cost advantages and operational repositioning increasingly outperform acquisition-based growth strategies.

Driftwood's $11 Million Marriott RTP Renovation: Infrastructure Over Acquisition

As acquisition cap rates compressed below 6% across gateway markets in late 2025, Driftwood Capital completed an $11 million renovation of the 226-room Marriott Raleigh Durham Research Triangle Park in January 2026, demonstrating how disciplined operators are prioritizing capital deployment into existing assets over stretched valuations in the transaction market1. The renovation included conversion of the former pool space into expanded meeting facilities, addition of an M Club lounge, and a critical HVAC infrastructure modernization transitioning from PTAC to VTAC units. This represents the type of behind-the-walls investment that elevates asset quality but rarely appears in pro forma IRR models until reflected in sustained rate premiums.

This capital allocation reflects what our AHA framework identifies as value creation through operational alpha rather than market beta, particularly relevant when acquisition multiples leave minimal margin for error. The strategic rationale centers on Research Triangle Park's corporate demand profile, with the hotel positioned near Interstate 40, RDU Airport, and major RTP employers including IBM, Cisco, and biotech anchors2. By converting underutilized pool space into meeting facilities, Driftwood directly addresses the 68% corporate/group mix that characterizes RTP hotels, prioritizing revenue-generating square footage over amenities with lower monetization potential.

The HVAC modernization addresses both guest experience and operational efficiency, reducing energy consumption while enabling zone-level climate control that premium corporate accounts increasingly expect. As Edward Chancellor notes in Capital Returns, "The best returns are often earned not by buying growth, but by buying neglected assets and improving them." This principle applies directly when core acquisition yields compress below long-term replacement cost thresholds. At approximately $48,700 per key, Driftwood's investment sits well below the $150,000 to $200,000 per key required for new construction in secondary markets3, yet delivers comparable guest-facing product quality through targeted upgrades.

The conversion of low-yield amenity space into high-yield meeting facilities demonstrates capital efficiency that our BAS framework would evaluate favorably relative to acquisition alternatives carrying 12% to 14% levered IRR hurdles with minimal downside protection. For allocators assessing 2026 deployment, the Marriott RTP renovation illustrates how operational repositioning within owned portfolios can generate attractive risk-adjusted returns when transaction market pricing leaves limited room for asset management value creation post-acquisition.

Capital Allocation Framework: Renovation Economics Versus Acquisition Premiums

The $48,700 per key renovation investment creates a compelling valuation arbitrage against current transaction market dynamics. New construction in secondary markets now requires $150,000 to $200,000 per key, representing a 67% to 76% cost premium over Driftwood's targeted renovation approach. This differential becomes particularly significant when evaluating risk-adjusted return profiles. New development carries entitlement risk, construction cost volatility, and 24 to 36 month hold periods before stabilization, whereas renovation of an operating asset delivers immediate revenue impact with substantially compressed execution timelines.

The strategic space reallocation from pool to meeting facilities exemplifies capital efficiency optimization. Meeting space in corporate-oriented hotels generates significantly higher revenue per square foot than recreational amenities, particularly in markets like RTP where 68% of demand originates from corporate and group segments. This conversion addresses a structural mismatch between legacy hotel design and current demand patterns, unlocking latent revenue potential without expanding the building footprint. Our BMRI framework would classify this as defensive positioning, enhancing competitive moat within the existing market rather than pursuing speculative expansion.

The HVAC infrastructure upgrade from PTAC to VTAC systems represents critical but often overlooked value creation. Modern VTAC systems reduce energy consumption by 20% to 30% while improving guest comfort through superior temperature control and noise reduction. These operational savings compound over the asset hold period, improving both NOI and eventual disposition valuations. As Benjamin Graham observed in The Intelligent Investor, "In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine." Infrastructure investments that enhance fundamental operating performance ultimately command valuation premiums when assets return to market, even if these improvements lack the immediate visual impact of lobby redesigns or restaurant concepts.

Strategic Positioning in Secondary Research Markets: RTP Demand Dynamics

Research Triangle Park represents a microcosm of broader trends favoring secondary knowledge economy markets over traditional gateway cities. The concentration of IBM, Cisco, biotech firms, and research institutions creates sustained corporate demand with limited seasonality, a demand profile that rewards hotels optimized for business functionality over leisure amenities. The 68% corporate/group mix at RTP hotels exceeds typical suburban markets by 15 to 20 percentage points, justifying capital allocation toward meeting space and business-oriented amenities rather than pool facilities that generate minimal revenue in corporate-dominated markets.

The hotel's proximity to Interstate 40, RDU Airport, and major employers creates locational advantages that amplify renovation returns. Transportation accessibility reduces friction for corporate travelers, while employer proximity enables the hotel to capture extended-stay and group business that generates higher total revenue per occupied room. The M Club lounge addition specifically targets this segment, providing dedicated space for corporate guests that enhances perceived value without proportional cost increases. This represents what our LSD framework identifies as margin expansion through targeted amenity deployment rather than broad-based upgrades.

The renovation timing aligns with broader corporate real estate trends favoring secondary markets. As major employers expand or relocate operations to lower-cost research hubs, hotel demand follows with a 12 to 18 month lag. Driftwood's completion in January 2026 positions the asset to capture this demand wave with renovated product, potentially commanding 8% to 12% rate premiums over non-renovated competitive sets. This forward positioning reflects what Howard Marks describes in The Most Important Thing as "second-level thinking," anticipating market evolution rather than reacting to current conditions.

Implications for Allocators

The Marriott RTP renovation synthesizes three critical themes for 2026 hospitality deployment: capital efficiency through renovation versus acquisition, strategic space reallocation aligned with demand patterns, and defensive positioning in secondary knowledge economy markets. As acquisition cap rates compress below 6% in gateway markets, the 67% to 76% cost advantage of targeted renovations over new construction creates compelling risk-adjusted return opportunities. The conversion of low-yield pool space into high-yield meeting facilities demonstrates how operators can unlock latent revenue potential within existing assets, generating operational alpha that our AHA framework prioritizes over market beta exposure.

For allocators with existing hospitality portfolios, the RTP case study suggests prioritizing capital deployment toward infrastructure modernization and space optimization over acquisition-based growth in the current rate environment. Our BMRI analysis indicates that renovation strategies offering sub-$50,000 per key investment with immediate revenue impact compare favorably to acquisition alternatives requiring 12% to 14% levered IRR hurdles. The HVAC and meeting space conversions exemplify behind-the-walls investments that enhance fundamental operating performance while building competitive moat, positioning assets for valuation premiums when transaction markets eventually normalize.

Critical risk factors to monitor include corporate travel recovery sustainability, construction cost volatility affecting replacement cost assumptions, and potential cap rate expansion if Fed policy shifts materially. Allocators should evaluate renovation candidates through demand composition analysis, prioritizing assets in markets with 60%+ corporate/group mix where space optimization delivers measurable revenue lift. The RTP renovation demonstrates that in compressed valuation environments, superior returns increasingly derive from operational repositioning within owned portfolios rather than acquisition-based strategies carrying elevated execution risk and limited margin for asset management value creation.

A perspective from Bay Street Hospitality

William Huston, General Partner

Sources & References

  1. Hotel Management — Driftwood Capital completes overhaul of Marriott Raleigh Durham Research Triangle Park
  2. Travel and Tour World — Driftwood Capital Completes $11 Million Renovation of Marriott Raleigh Durham Research Triangle Park
  3. Hospitality Net — Driftwood Capital Completes Renovation of Marriott Raleigh Durham Research Triangle Park

Bay Street Hospitality identifies macro and micro-level inflection points where hospitality investment is underpenetrated but strongly supported by data and policy. Our quantamental approach combines rigorous financial frameworks with cultural capital assessment.

© 2026 Bay Street Hospitality. All rights reserved.

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