LEAVE US YOUR MESSAGE
contact us

Hi! Please leave us your message or call us at 510-858-1921

Thank you! Your submission has been received!

Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form

15
Oct

Quantamental Glossary

Last Updated
I
October 15, 2025

Net Present Value (NPV)

Category: Core Return Modeling

Definition: Present value of projected cash flows minus initial investment.

Detailed Explanation: NPV calculates the value today of future hotel cash flows discounted at a required rate of return. In Bay Street’s pipeline it is the first-pass viability screen. Positive NPV means value creation; negative NPV means rejection.

Internal Links: IRR, Bay Score

External References: Investopedia NPV guide; Bay Street Quantamental Investment Process

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

Category: Core Return Modeling

Definition: The discount rate at which NPV = 0.

Detailed Explanation: IRR standardizes returns across deals with different time horizons. In Bay Street’s process it follows NPV and provides a comparable baseline before hospitality adjustments.

Internal Links: NPV, AHA, Bay Score

External References: CFA Institute IRR definition; Bay Street Quantamental Investment Process

Adjusted Hospitality Alpha (AHA)

Category: Hospitality-Specific Return Adjustment

Definition: IRR minus benchmark minus illiquidity premium.

Detailed Explanation: AHA strips out inflated IRR by accounting for illiquidity and benchmarking against the Bay Street Hospitality Index (BSHI). It measures true excess performance above sector norms.

Internal Links: IRR, BAS, Bay Score, IP

External References: Bay Street Lifecycle Methodology

Bay Adjusted Sharpe (BAS)

Category: Hospitality-Specific Return Adjustment

Definition: AHA divided by volatility.

Detailed Explanation: BAS measures return efficiency per unit of risk. High AHA only matters if delivered efficiently, making BAS critical for risk-adjusted comparability across operators and markets.

Internal Links: AHA, LSD, Bay Score

External References: Bay Street Risk-Adjusted Return Engineering

Liquidity Stress Delta (LSD)

Category: Downside & Liquidity Filters

Definition: Quantifies liquidity drag from FX, capex, and lockup frictions.

Detailed Explanation: LSD models exit risk by stress-testing timing, foreign exchange, and capital expenditures. High LSD penalizes Bay Score and may trigger exit clauses in term sheets.

Internal Links: BAS, BMRI, Bay Score

External References: Bay Street Dynamic Negotiation Playbook

Bay Macro Risk Index (BMRI)

Category: Downside & Liquidity Filters

Definition: Composite index of country-level macro risk.

Detailed Explanation: BMRI integrates sovereign spread, FX volatility, tourism growth deltas, political risk, and repatriation restrictions into a 0–100 score. Used to discount IRR projections and adjust Bay Score for macro fragility.

Internal Links: LSD, Bay Score

External References: Bay Street Macro Risk Overlays

Illiquidity Premium (IP)

Category: Downside & Liquidity Filters

Definition: Adjustment for private vs public market liquidity gaps.

Detailed Explanation: IP is engineered, not assumed: it compares private deal IRRs with public REIT yields, adjusting for volatility and dispersion. Integrated into AHA and Bay Score to prevent overvaluation.

Internal Links: AHA, Bay Score

External References: Bay Street Illiquidity Premium Whitepaper

Bay Score (BS)

Category: Unified Scoring & Decision Gate

Definition: Composite 0–100 score integrating all metrics.

Detailed Explanation: Bay Score is Bay Street’s unifying decision metric. It combines AHA, BAS, LSD, BMRI, IP, ESG, and sponsor quality into one comparable output. Deals scoring ≥70 typically proceed to Investment Committee.

Internal Links: NPV, IRR, AHA, BAS, LSD, BMRI, IP, IC Decision

External References: Bay Street Quantamental Investment Process

Investment Committee Decision (IC Decision)

Category: Governance

Definition: Final governance gate for deal approval.

Detailed Explanation: IC Decision is triggered by Bay Score thresholds and macro-risk overlays. It represents the final investment governance step, where institutional review aligns with quantamental scoring outputs.

Internal Links: Bay Score, LSD, BMRI

External References: Bay Street Quantamental Execution Blueprint

...

Latest posts
10
Oct
Quantamental Hospitality Investing
Braemar’s Sale and the REIT Discount Dilemma
October 10, 2025

Braemar Hotels & Resorts’ decision to formally explore a sale underscores a larger structural challenge for hospitality REITs: the gulf between private market valuations and public market pricing. With U.S. hotel REITs trading at a 35.5% discount to NAV as of June 30 — the steepest discount of any REIT sector — the disconnect is no longer an abstraction but an existential pressure point.

Continue Reading
10
Oct
Quantamental Hospitality Investing
Financing That Closes Requires More Than Just Numbers
October 10, 2025

In Jacqueline Villamil and David Kasten’s sharp-eyed article, Financing That Closes: How Hotel Owners Can Win in Today’s Tight Lending Market, the theme is unmistakable: lenders in late 2025 are demanding not only numbers but narratives, not only collateral but credibility. In Bay Street’s quantamental lens, this environment is not simply a constraint—it is a crucible where discipline, preparation, and downside protection define which projects earn capital and which languish in underwriting purgatory.

Continue Reading
9
Oct
Quantamental Hospitality Investing
Hong Kong’s Education Pivot Signals a Structural Realignment—But Who Will Build the Ecosystem?
October 9, 2025

The Chief Executive’s 2025 Policy Address marks a pivotal shift in Hong Kong’s education landscape—not as a soft-power adornment, but as a core economic engine. A 50% non-local enrolment cap, new zoning exemptions for hostel conversions, and a HKD40 million recruitment fund? This is not window-dressing. It is—finally—a demand-side thesis with top-down tailwinds.

Continue Reading

Unlock the Playbook

Download the Quantamental Approach to Investor Protection, Alignment & Alpha Creation Playbook
Thank you!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
Are you an allocator or reporter exploring deal structuring in hospitality?
Request a 30-minute strategy briefing
Get in touch